{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/steven.vanhauwaert/Downloads/log3.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}13 May 2025, 10:55:57

{com}. do "/var/folders/dm/f7vdd6bn2fb3xzm77_3w_31w0000gq/T//SD47851.000000"
{txt}
{com}. 
. ****************************************************
. // FIGURE 1: PUBLIC OPINION MEASURES //
. ****************************************************
. 
. 
. graph twoway (line pref_env_raw year, sort) (line pref_edu_raw year, sort) (line pref_heal_raw year, sort) (line pref_welf_raw year, sort) if year < 2020, scheme(plotplain) legend(position(6)) saving(preferences)
{res}{txt}file {bf:preferences.gph} saved

{com}. 
. 
. graph twoway (line treal_APP_env year, sort) (line treal_APP_edu year, sort) (line treal_APP_health year, sort) (line treal_APP_welfare year, sort) if year < 2020, scheme(plotplain) legend(position(6)) saving(spending)
{res}{txt}file {bf:spending.gph} saved

{com}. 
. graph combine "preferences.gph" "spending.gph", scheme(plotplain)
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ****************************************************
. // TABLE 1: PROPERTIES OF MASS PREFERENCES //
. ****************************************************
. 
. 
. pwcorr pref_env_raw pref_edu_raw pref_heal_raw pref_welf_raw if year < 2020

             {txt}{c |} pr~v_raw pr~u_raw pref_h~w pref_w~w
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 36}
pref_env_raw {c |} {res}  1.0000 
{txt}pref_edu_raw {c |} {res}  0.5340   1.0000 
{txt}pref_heal_~w {c |} {res}  0.7144   0.4250   1.0000 
{txt}pref_welf_~w {c |} {res}  0.6093   0.5336   0.4694   1.0000 
{txt}
{com}. 
. factor pref_env_raw pref_edu_raw pref_heal_raw pref_welf_raw if year < 2020
{txt}(obs=31)

Factor analysis/correlation{col 50}Number of obs    = {res}        31
{col 5}{txt}Method: principal factors{col 50}Retained factors =   {res}       2
{col 5}{txt}Rotation: (unrotated){col 50}Number of params =   {res}       6

{txt}{col 5}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 60}
{col 5}     Factor  {c |} {ralign 12:Eigenvalue}   Difference        Proportion   Cumulative
{col 5}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 60}
{col 5}{ralign 11:Factor1}  {c |}{res}      2.14908      2.06231            1.1145       1.1145
{txt}{col 5}{ralign 11:Factor2}  {c |}{res}      0.08676      0.22221            0.0450       1.1595
{txt}{col 5}{ralign 11:Factor3}  {c |}{res}     -0.13545      0.03662           -0.0702       1.0892
{txt}{col 5}{ralign 11:Factor4}  {c |}{res}     -0.17207            .           -0.0892       1.0000
{txt}{col 5}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 60}
{col 5}LR test: independent vs. saturated:  chi2({res}6{txt})  ={res}   46.77{txt} Prob>chi2 ={res} 0.0000

{txt}Factor loadings (pattern matrix) and unique variances

{space 4}{hline 13}{c  TT}{hline 10}{hline 10}{c  TT}{hline 14}
{space 4}{space 0}{ralign 12:Variable}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{ralign 8:Factor1}{space 1}{space 1}{ralign 8:Factor2}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{ralign 12:Uniqueness}{space 1}
{space 4}{hline 13}{c   +}{hline 10}{hline 10}{c   +}{hline 14}
{space 4}{space 0}{ralign 12:pref_env_raw}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{ralign 8:{res:{sf:  0.8468}}}{space 1}{space 1}{ralign 8:{res:{sf: -0.0822}}}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{center 12:{res:{sf:    0.2763}}}{space 1}
{space 4}{space 0}{ralign 12:pref_edu_raw}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{ralign 8:{res:{sf:  0.6345}}}{space 1}{space 1}{ralign 8:{res:{sf:  0.1586}}}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{center 12:{res:{sf:    0.5722}}}{space 1}
{space 4}{space 0}{ralign 12:pref_heal_~w}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{ralign 8:{res:{sf:  0.7354}}}{space 1}{space 1}{ralign 8:{res:{sf: -0.1821}}}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{center 12:{res:{sf:    0.4260}}}{space 1}
{space 4}{space 0}{ralign 12:pref_welf_~w}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{ralign 8:{res:{sf:  0.6990}}}{space 1}{space 1}{ralign 8:{res:{sf:  0.1472}}}{space 1}{c |}{space 1}{center 12:{res:{sf:    0.4897}}}{space 1}
{space 4}{hline 13}{c  BT}{hline 10}{hline 10}{c  BT}{hline 14}

{com}. 
. 
. ****************************************************
. // TABLE 6: AGGREGATED PREFERENCES //
. ****************************************************
. 
. 
. * 1) Average social preferences
. 
. regress pref_soc_int l.pref_soc_int treal_APP_total gdp_trill president if year < 2020

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}        44
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(4, 39)        = {res}    83.49
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 2348.14562         4  587.036404   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res}  274.22308        39  7.03136103   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.8954
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.8847
{txt}       Total {c |} {res}  2622.3687        43  60.9853185   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} 2.6517

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   pref_soc_int{col 17}{c |} Coefficient{col 29}  Std. err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% con{col 70}f. interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pref_soc_int {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5602028{col 29}{space 2} .0798966{col 40}{space 1}    7.01{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .3985966{col 70}{space 3} .7218089
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
treal_APP_total {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-24.43906{col 29}{space 2} 5.620654{col 40}{space 1}   -4.35{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-35.80791{col 70}{space 3}-13.07022
{txt}{space 6}gdp_trill {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.028431{col 29}{space 2} .3961751{col 40}{space 1}    5.12{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 1.227092{col 70}{space 3} 2.829771
{txt}{space 6}president {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.790041{col 29}{space 2} 1.012512{col 40}{space 1}   -3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-5.838041{col 70}{space 3}-1.742042
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.250598{col 29}{space 2} 2.532358{col 40}{space 1}    2.86{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4} 2.128419{col 70}{space 3} 12.37278
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * 2) Estimate mood from CFA
. 
. regress mood_int l.mood_int treal_APP_total gdp_trill president if year < 2020

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}        44
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(4, 39)        = {res}    78.95
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 33.4078478         4  8.35196195   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} 4.12574551        39  .105788346   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.8901
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.8788
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 37.5335933        43  .872874263   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} .32525

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}       mood_int{col 17}{c |} Coefficient{col 29}  Std. err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% con{col 70}f. interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}mood_int {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .587075{col 29}{space 2} .0741029{col 40}{space 1}    7.92{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .4371878{col 70}{space 3} .7369623
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
treal_APP_total {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.048668{col 29}{space 2} .6886654{col 40}{space 1}   -4.43{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-4.441626{col 70}{space 3}-1.655711
{txt}{space 6}gdp_trill {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .238378{col 29}{space 2} .0472768{col 40}{space 1}    5.04{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .1427516{col 70}{space 3} .3340043
{txt}{space 6}president {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.463037{col 29}{space 2} .1189607{col 40}{space 1}   -3.89{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.7036577{col 70}{space 3}-.2224164
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9953195{col 29}{space 2}  .245581{col 40}{space 1}   -4.05{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-1.492054{col 70}{space 3} -.498585
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ****************************************************
. 
. // SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS //
. 
. ****************************************************
. 
. 
. ****************************************************
. // A. TIME-SERIES DIAGNOSTICS //
. ****************************************************
. 
. 
. // Table A5 //
. 
. 
. dfuller gdp_trill if year<2020, regr trend lags(1)

{txt}Augmented Dickey–Fuller test for unit root

Variable: {res}gdp_trill{txt}{col 44}Number of obs  = {res}{ralign 2:45}
{txt}{col 44}Number of lags = {res}{ralign 2:1}

{txt}H0: Random walk with or without drift

{col 40}Dickey–Fuller
{col 20}Test{col 30}{hline 8} critical value {hline 9}
              statistic           1%           5%          10%
{hline 62}
 Z(t)       {res}     -2.451       -4.196       -3.520       -3.192
{txt}{hline 62}
MacKinnon approximate {it:p}-value for Z(t) = {res}0.3531{txt}.

Regression table
{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1} D.gdp_trill{col 14}{c |} Coefficient{col 26}  Std. err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% con{col 67}f. interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}gdp_trill {c |}
{space 9}L1. {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.153036{col 26}{space 2} .0624474{col 37}{space 1}   -2.45{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4} -.279151{col 67}{space 3} -.026921
{txt}{space 9}LD. {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3481428{col 26}{space 2}  .135916{col 37}{space 1}    2.56{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .0736549{col 67}{space 3} .6226306
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 6}_trend {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0490424{col 26}{space 2} .0191239{col 37}{space 1}    2.56{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4}  .010421{col 67}{space 3} .0876638
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7866424{col 26}{space 2} .2681208{col 37}{space 1}    2.93{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .2451615{col 67}{space 3} 1.328123
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. dfuller treal_APP_total if year<2020, regr trend 

{txt}Dickey–Fuller test for unit root{col 44}Number of obs  = {res}{ralign 2:43}
{txt}Variable: {res}treal_APP_total{txt}{col 44}Number of lags = {res}{ralign 2:0}

{txt}H0: Random walk with or without drift

{col 40}Dickey–Fuller
{col 20}Test{col 30}{hline 8} critical value {hline 9}
              statistic           1%           5%          10%
{hline 62}
 Z(t)       {res}     -2.638       -4.214       -3.528       -3.197
{txt}{hline 62}
MacKinnon approximate {it:p}-value for Z(t) = {res}0.2628{txt}.

Regression table
{res}{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.             {col 17}{c |}
{col 1}treal_APP_total{col 17}{c |} Coefficient{col 29}  Std. err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% con{col 70}f. interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
treal_APP_total {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2664003{col 29}{space 2} .1009952{col 40}{space 1}   -2.64{col 49}{space 3}0.012{col 57}{space 4}-.4705193{col 70}{space 3}-.0622813
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 9}_trend {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0057619{col 29}{space 2} .0020435{col 40}{space 1}    2.82{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4} .0016318{col 70}{space 3} .0098919
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0302883{col 29}{space 2} .0203962{col 40}{space 1}    1.48{col 49}{space 3}0.145{col 57}{space 4}-.0109339{col 70}{space 3} .0715104
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. // Table A6 //
. 
. 
. kpss gdp_trill if year<2020, auto
 
{txt}KPSS test for gdp_trill
 
Automatic bandwidth selection (maxlag) = 5
Autocovariances weighted by Bartlett kernel
 
Critical values for H0: gdp_trill is trend stationary
 
10%: 0.119  5% : 0.146  2.5%: 0.176  1% : 0.216
 
Lag order    Test statistic
{col 4} 5{col 13}    .143

{com}. kpss treal_APP_total if year<2020, auto
 
{txt}KPSS test for treal_APP_total
 
Automatic bandwidth selection (maxlag) = 5
Autocovariances weighted by Bartlett kernel
 
Critical values for H0: treal_APP_total is trend stationary
 
10%: 0.119  5% : 0.146  2.5%: 0.176  1% : 0.216
 
Lag order    Test statistic
{col 4} 5{col 13}    .182

{com}. 
. 
. // Table A7 //
. 
. 
. regr treal_APP_total gdp_trill if year<2020

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}        44
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(1, 42)        = {res}   413.00
{txt}       Model {c |} {res}  2.6758405         1   2.6758405   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} .272122575        42  .006479109   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.9077
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.9055
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 2.94796308        43  .068557281   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} .08049

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}treal_APP_~l{col 14}{c |} Coefficient{col 26}  Std. err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% con{col 67}f. interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}gdp_trill {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0621475{col 26}{space 2} .0030581{col 37}{space 1}   20.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .055976{col 67}{space 3}  .068319
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2097537{col 26}{space 2} .0385945{col 37}{space 1}   -5.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2876404{col 67}{space 3}-.1318669
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. predict Rtreal, residuals
{txt}(3 missing values generated)

{com}. regr d.Rtreal l.Rtreal if year<2020

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}        43
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(1, 41)        = {res}     9.10
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} .032505637         1  .032505637   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0044
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} .146449546        41   .00357194   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.1816
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.1617
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} .178955183        42  .004260838   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} .05977

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    D.Rtreal{col 14}{c |} Coefficient{col 26}  Std. err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% con{col 67}f. interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Rtreal {c |}
{space 9}L1. {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3468222{col 26}{space 2} .1149687{col 37}{space 1}   -3.02{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-.5790062{col 67}{space 3}-.1146382
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0016901{col 26}{space 2} .0091149{col 37}{space 1}   -0.19{col 46}{space 3}0.854{col 54}{space 4} -.020098{col 67}{space 3} .0167178
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ****************************************************
. // D. ALTERNATIVE MODELS OF NET PREFERENCES BY DOMAIN //
. ****************************************************
. 
. 
. // TABLE D.1
. 
. sureg (pref_edu_int l.pref_edu_int treal_APP_total gdp_trill president) (pref_env_int l.pref_env_int treal_APP_total gdp_trill president) (pref_heal_int l.pref_heal_int treal_APP_total gdp_trill president) (pref_welf_int l.pref_welf_int treal_APP_total gdp_trill president) if year < 2020
{res}
{txt}Seemingly unrelated regression
{hline 78}
Equation             Obs   Params         RMSE  "R-squared"      chi2   P>chi2
{hline 78}
{res}pref_edu_int          44        4     2.009926      0.9394     749.65   0.0000
pref_env_int          44        4     3.344185      0.8247     251.93   0.0000
pref_heal_~t          44        4     3.282792      0.8572     280.41   0.0000
pref_welf_~t          44        4     5.895072      0.7575     142.74   0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{res}{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |} Coefficient{col 29}  Std. err.{col 41}      z{col 49}   P>|z|{col 57}     [95% con{col 70}f. interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}pref_edu_int    {txt}{c |}
{space 3}pref_edu_int {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8418852{col 29}{space 2} .0592187{col 40}{space 1}   14.22{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .7258187{col 70}{space 3} .9579517
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
treal_APP_total {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.650266{col 29}{space 2} 4.812092{col 40}{space 1}   -1.17{col 49}{space 3}0.240{col 57}{space 4}-15.08179{col 70}{space 3} 3.781261
{txt}{space 6}gdp_trill {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4712561{col 29}{space 2} .3701777{col 40}{space 1}    1.27{col 49}{space 3}0.203{col 57}{space 4}-.2542788{col 70}{space 3} 1.196791
{txt}{space 6}president {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6745517{col 29}{space 2} .6405773{col 40}{space 1}   -1.05{col 49}{space 3}0.292{col 57}{space 4} -1.93006{col 70}{space 3} .5809567
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.040173{col 29}{space 2} 2.320688{col 40}{space 1}    3.46{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 3.491708{col 70}{space 3} 12.58864
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}pref_env_int    {txt}{c |}
{space 3}pref_env_int {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6831216{col 29}{space 2} .0655802{col 40}{space 1}   10.42{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .5545867{col 70}{space 3} .8116565
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
treal_APP_total {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-23.00787{col 29}{space 2} 6.887068{col 40}{space 1}   -3.34{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-36.50627{col 70}{space 3}-9.509462
{txt}{space 6}gdp_trill {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.660798{col 29}{space 2} .4536883{col 40}{space 1}    3.66{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .7715851{col 70}{space 3} 2.550011
{txt}{space 6}president {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.605351{col 29}{space 2} 1.121803{col 40}{space 1}   -3.21{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-5.804044{col 70}{space 3}-1.406658
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.15071{col 29}{space 2} 3.564333{col 40}{space 1}    3.13{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.164744{col 70}{space 3} 18.13667
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}pref_heal_int   {txt}{c |}
{space 2}pref_heal_int {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7107682{col 29}{space 2} .0637427{col 40}{space 1}   11.15{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .5858349{col 70}{space 3} .8357016
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
treal_APP_total {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-31.09421{col 29}{space 2} 6.682658{col 40}{space 1}   -4.65{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-44.19198{col 70}{space 3}-17.99644
{txt}{space 6}gdp_trill {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.101557{col 29}{space 2} .4349809{col 40}{space 1}    4.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  1.24901{col 70}{space 3} 2.954104
{txt}{space 6}president {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.160538{col 29}{space 2} 1.129131{col 40}{space 1}   -2.80{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-5.373594{col 70}{space 3} -.947482
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.45737{col 29}{space 2} 4.104787{col 40}{space 1}    2.55{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4}  2.41213{col 70}{space 3}  18.5026
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}pref_welf_int   {txt}{c |}
{space 2}pref_welf_int {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4937687{col 29}{space 2} .1136347{col 40}{space 1}    4.35{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .2710487{col 70}{space 3} .7164887
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
treal_APP_total {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-19.12025{col 29}{space 2} 11.79345{col 40}{space 1}   -1.62{col 49}{space 3}0.105{col 57}{space 4}-42.23498{col 70}{space 3} 3.994485
{txt}{space 6}gdp_trill {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.207354{col 29}{space 2} .7821128{col 40}{space 1}    2.82{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4} .6744415{col 70}{space 3} 3.740267
{txt}{space 6}president {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -6.71916{col 29}{space 2}  2.50372{col 40}{space 1}   -2.68{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4}-11.62636{col 70}{space 3} -1.81196
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-25.74039{col 29}{space 2} 5.829813{col 40}{space 1}   -4.42{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-37.16661{col 70}{space 3}-14.31416
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ****************************************************
. // F. MODELS EXCL. PARTY OF THE PRESIDENT //
. ****************************************************
. 
. 
. // Table F.3
. 
. regress pref_soc_int l.pref_soc_int treal_APP_total gdp_trill if year < 2020

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}        44
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(3, 40)        = {res}    80.47
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 2249.62513         3  749.875044   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} 372.743565        40  9.31858912   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.8579
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.8472
{txt}       Total {c |} {res}  2622.3687        43  60.9853185   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} 3.0526

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   pref_soc_int{col 17}{c |} Coefficient{col 29}  Std. err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% con{col 70}f. interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pref_soc_int {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7253216{col 29}{space 2} .0766886{col 40}{space 1}    9.46{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .5703281{col 70}{space 3} .8803152
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
treal_APP_total {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-25.45749{col 29}{space 2} 6.462981{col 40}{space 1}   -3.94{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-38.51967{col 70}{space 3}-12.39532
{txt}{space 6}gdp_trill {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.877921{col 29}{space 2} .4537265{col 40}{space 1}    4.14{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .9609058{col 70}{space 3} 2.794937
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.706741{col 29}{space 2}  2.36471{col 40}{space 1}    0.72{col 49}{space 3}0.475{col 57}{space 4}-3.072515{col 70}{space 3} 6.485998
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. regress mood_int l.mood_int treal_APP_total gdp_trill if year < 2020

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}        44
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(3, 40)        = {res}    74.03
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 31.8051097         3  10.6017032   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} 5.72848357        40  .143212089   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.8474
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.8359
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 37.5335933        43  .872874263   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} .37843

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}       mood_int{col 17}{c |} Coefficient{col 29}  Std. err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% con{col 70}f. interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}mood_int {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7290593{col 29}{space 2} .0750498{col 40}{space 1}    9.71{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .5773779{col 70}{space 3} .8807406
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
treal_APP_total {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.262525{col 29}{space 2} .7987164{col 40}{space 1}   -4.08{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-4.876791{col 70}{space 3}-1.648259
{txt}{space 6}gdp_trill {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2315921{col 29}{space 2} .0549697{col 40}{space 1}    4.21{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .1204942{col 70}{space 3} .3426901
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.003497{col 29}{space 2}  .285726{col 40}{space 1}   -3.51{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-1.580971{col 70}{space 3}-.4260234
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/steven.vanhauwaert/Downloads/log3.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}13 May 2025, 10:56:13
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}